Model: TipTromba3H
LDU Portoviejo – Atletico FC Guayaquil
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 41d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | LDU Portoviejo | Atletico FC Guayaquil |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W-W | D-D-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D (home) | D-D-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 0.33 conceded | 1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 3.60 against | 1.80 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.67 for / 1.67 against (home) | 2.80 for / 3.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, LDU Portoviejo has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to LDU Portoviejo's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8%
7D: -18.4%
15D: -8.4%
30D: 6.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
LDU Portoviejo – Atletico FC Guayaquil Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample110
Win Rate35.5%
Profit-8.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Gori - FC Gareji | 2.55 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Atlantis FC/PM - MPS/Atletico Malmi | 2.63 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Racing de Casablanca - Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| WIN | Andira U20 - AD Vasco Da Gama U20 | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Scherpenheuvel - Inter Willemstad | 2.50 | 2.55% |
| WIN | Democrata SL - SC Aymores | 2.50 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | CD Tenerife Academia Panama - Deportivo Altamira | 2.50 | 2.55% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland FC II - Western Springs AFC | 1 | 2.75 | 4.49% | 19 Jun 09:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 41d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 10h ago