Model: TIPPSA

LDU Quito vs Tecnico Universitario

PREDICTION

@ 5.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 57d ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Tecnico Universitario. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Tecnico Universitario

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.25First seen

Current5.60Now

Max odds6.80Highest point

Min odds5.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LDU QuitoHOME

Tecnico UniversitarioAWAY

WWLWL

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

3.60

7.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

3.20

Home splitW-W-D-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.25. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd5.25

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Tecnico Universitario. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Tecnico Universitario's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 6.9% 7D: -6.1% 15D: -13.3% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

LDU Quito – Tecnico Universitario Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 5.25

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 57d ago

Updated

Updated 57d 2h ago