Leones FC – Emelec

Model: TIPPSH

Leones FC vs Emelec

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 68d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 68d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Leones FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Leones FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.69Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Leones FCHOME
VS
EmelecAWAY
WLWLL
Recent form
LWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
3.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
6.60
Home splitW-W-L-W1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-D0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.70
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -24.1% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 2.0% 30D: 14.4%
Model insight

Leones FC – Emelec Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample41
Win Rate31.7%
Profit-6.86u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK2.82-2.37%
LOSSPanama (W) - Jamaica (W)2.80-2.37%
WINAtlantis - HIFK 22.77-2.37%
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 68d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 68d 22h ago
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