Leones FC – Emelec

Model: TIPPSH

Leones FC – Emelec

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 2:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 22d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Leones FC Emelec
Last 5 form W-L-W-L-L L-W-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 1.40 0.60
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.40
Home/Away form W-W-L-W (home) L-W-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded 0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded
Shots on target 3.40 for / 3.40 against 3.20 for / 6.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.50 for / 3.00 against (home) 2.75 for / 6.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.69Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Leones FC – Emelec Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample38
Win Rate31.6%
Profit-6.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
WINSt. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC2.76-3.20%
LOSSLechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw2.94-3.20%
WINEl Porvenir - Central Cordoba de Rosario2.75-3.20%
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 2:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 22d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 23d ago
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