Model: TipA1

Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Gonio

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 11h 51m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Gonio. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC GonioGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.003 | A: -0.025

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lokomotiv TbilisiHOME

FC GonioAWAY

DWLDW

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

Shots on target for

4.00

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

1.80

1.40

Home splitW-W-W-L-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-L2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Liga 3 (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FC Gonio has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 51.2% 7D: -4.5% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 3.3%

Model insight

Lokomotiv Tbilisi – FC Gonio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample199

Win Rate42.2%

Profit-9.44u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Kreuzlingen - SC Cham	2.20	3.75%
LOSS	Moreirense U23 - Famalicao U23	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Ludogorets Razgrad II - Vihren Sandanski	2.40	4.27%
WIN	Darlington 1883 - Chester	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison FC	2.20	3.75%
WIN	3 de Febrero FBC - Club Sport Colombia	2.20	3.75%
WIN	Gazalkent - Olympic Mobiuz	2.38	4.27%
LOSS	FC Vado - Inter Milan U23	2.35	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
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Fremad Amager - FC Roskilde	2	2.30	4.27%	21 Aug 19:00
Termalica BB Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	2	2.45	4.27%	22 Aug 15:30
Sollentuna United FF - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2	2.45	4.27%	22 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Starts in 11h 51m

Updated

Updated 12m ago