London City Lionesses (W) – Aston Villa (W)

Model: TIPPSH

London City Lionesses (W) vs Aston Villa (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 57d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 58d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is London City Lionesses (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: London City Lionesses (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.03Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

London City Lionesses (W)HOME
VS
Aston Villa (W)AWAY
WLW
Recent form
LLL
Avg goals scored
2.67
0.33
Defensive weakness
1.33
2.33
Shots on target for
7.67
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.33
Home splitW-W3.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Super League Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.40
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, London City Lionesses (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. London City Lionesses (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -10.2% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

London City Lionesses (W) – Aston Villa (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample64
Win Rate39.1%
Profit-3.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
LOSSPadova U19 - Venezia U192.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.40
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 57d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 58d ago
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