Londrina – Avai

Model: TIPPSH

Londrina vs Avai

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 16, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 55d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Londrina. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LondrinaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.32First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LondrinaHOME
VS
AvaiAWAY
WLLLW
Recent form
LLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.00
Shots on target for
5.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
5.20
Home splitW-L-L-D-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.44. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.44
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Londrina shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Londrina's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.0% 7D: -6.5% 15D: -8.2% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Londrina – Avai Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample142
Win Rate46.5%
Profit+14.43u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Spartak Velka Bites - TJ Tatran Bohunice2.253.15%
WINAuckland FC II - East Coast Bays2.502.49%
WINWisloka Debica - JKS Jaroslaw2.343.15%
WINHapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.453.15%
LOSSLKS Drama Zbroslawice - Podlesianka Katowice2.252.49%
LOSSOFK Banik Lehota - OFK Malzenice2.252.49%
LOSSAdelaide Comets (W) - Salisbury Inter (W)2.363.15%
LOSSVitesse - RKC2.352.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Pick
1 @ 2.44
Kickoff
Giu 16, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 55d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 6h ago
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