Macarthur Rams – Blacktown Spartans

Model: TIPPSA

Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 10:30 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 10h 46m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Blacktown Spartans. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Blacktown SpartansGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.064 | A: 0.168

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Macarthur RamsHOME
VS
Blacktown SpartansAWAY
LWWLW
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.40
Shots on target for
4.60
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
2.80
Home splitL-L-D-W-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.17
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Blacktown Spartans a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Blacktown Spartans's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -17.1% 7D: -14.7% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 6.1%
Model insight

Macarthur Rams – Blacktown Spartans Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample72
Win Rate43.1%
Profit-6.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFF Jaro II - Huima/Urho2.08-0.84%
LOSSUE Olot - UE Sant Andreu2.09-0.84%
WINZhejiang - Chengdu Rongcheng2.20-0.84%
LOSSPafos FC - FC Salzburg2.21-0.84%
LOSSTPV - SalPa2.09-0.84%
WINFram Reykjavik - KR Reykjavik2.21-0.84%
LOSSHaugesund 2 - Viking 22.12-0.84%
WINUnion Berlin (W) - Inter Milan (W)2.05-0.84%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Fuerte San Francisco - AD Isidro Metapan22.05-0.84%15 Aug 23:30
Pick
2 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 10:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 10h 46m ago
Updated
Updated 12h 48m ago
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