Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Netanya

Model: TIPPSH

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Netanya

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.48
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 29, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Maccabi Petah Tikva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Maccabi Petah TikvaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.111 | A: 0.170

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current3.48Now
Max odds3.48Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Maccabi Petah TikvaHOME
VS
Maccabi NetanyaAWAY
LLDDD
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.80
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.00
Home splitL-D-W1.67 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.48. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.88% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.48
V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 4.3% 7D: -4.4% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi Netanya Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.88% across 230 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+0.59u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSChungbuk Cheongju - FC Anyang3.64-1.88%
LOSSHume City - Oakleigh Cannons3.27-1.88%
LOSSRio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil3.34-1.88%
WINBenfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC3.27-1.88%
LOSSWuxi Wugo - Qingdao Hainiu3.60-1.88%
WINVPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki3.32-1.88%
Pick
1 @ 3.48
Kickoff
Lug 29, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230
Start
Started 1d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 8h ago
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