Model: TIPPSH

Manly Utd vs SD Raiders

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 04, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 21h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Manly Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Manly Utd

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.06Highest point

Min odds1.98Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Manly UtdHOME

SD RaidersAWAY

DWDLD

Recent form

LWLWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.80

Shots on target for

5.40

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.40

Home splitW-D-D-L-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Manly Utd's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.6% 7D: 45.0% 15D: 19.4% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Manly Utd – SD Raiders Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample280

Win Rate46.8%

Profit-14.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Guaporé RO - Monte Roraima	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Shanghai Port U20 - Ningbo Professional U20	1.83	1.31%
LOSS	Atlanta United II - Crown Legacy	1.97	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 1d 21h

Updated

Updated 3m ago