Maranhao – Paysandu

Model: TipA1

Maranhao vs Paysandu

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 42d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Paysandu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PaysanduGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds3.02Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MaranhaoHOME
VS
PaysanduAWAY
LDDDL
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.40
Shots on target for
2.60
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.40
Home splitL-D-W-L-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.90
V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Paysandu has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Paysandu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -6.2% 7D: -13.9% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Maranhao – Paysandu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample62
Win Rate30.6%
Profit-6.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDalian K'un City - Shaanxi Union2.701.02%
WINMolde U19 - Rosenborg U193.100.48%
LOSSLugo - Celta Fortuna2.701.02%
WINFC Tiszaujvaros - Ozd Sajovolgye2.750.48%
LOSSVeraguas CD - CA Independiente de la Chorrera3.000.48%
LOSSFK Novi Pazar - FK Radnicki 19232.800.48%
LOSSTanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania FC2.750.48%
LOSSAnderlecht - NEC2.880.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Los Angeles FC - Chivas Guadalajara22.750.48%06 Aug 04:30
Pick
2 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403
Start
Started 42d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 12h ago
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