Model: TipA1

Marquense vs CSD Municipal

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 4:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 8h 40m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 21m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CSD Municipal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CSD MunicipalGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.064 | A: 0.136

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MarquenseHOME

CSD MunicipalAWAY

LLDLL

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.80

Defensive weakness

2.60

0.60

Shots on target for

2.40

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.80

4.00

Home splitD-L-W-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-L1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Guatemala Liga Nacional (gt). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. CSD Municipal is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 59.4% 7D: 13.2% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 10.0%

Model insight

Marquense – CSD Municipal Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample189

Win Rate49.2%

Profit+4.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Bromley - QPR	2.05	-3.85%
WIN	SJK Akatemia II - GBK	2.10	-1.48%
LOSS	EC Barretos U20 - CA Penapolense U20	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	Herd - Volda	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	KV Vesturbaer - Reynir Sandgerdi	2.20	-1.48%
WIN	LAUTP - MP II	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2.20	-1.48%
LOSS	Salford City - Dundee Utd	2.20	-3.85%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Newell's - Boca Juniors	2	2.20	-1.48%	02 Aug 22:00

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 4:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Starts in 8h 40m

Updated

Updated 3h 21m ago