Marseille vs Strasbourg
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Marseille. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MarseilleGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.012 | A: -0.336Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Marseille, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Marseille has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Marseille – Strasbourg Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Eupen - Genk II | 1.63 | 5.11% |
| LOSS | Barnsley - Bromley | 1.96 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | Souths United - Taringa Rovers | 1.94 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | Nelson Suburbs - Christchurch United | 1.72 | 5.11% |
| WIN | Sabah - AGF Aarhus | 2.00 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Ventura County Fusion | 1.79 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Gyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC | 1.78 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Botafogo SP - Avai | 1.96 | 6.72% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones FC - Guayaquil City | 1 | 1.87 | 6.72% | 23 Jul 23:30 |
| Livingston - Dunfermline | 1 | 1.78 | 6.72% | 22 Aug 16:00 |
| SCR Altach - Hartberg | 1 | 1.82 | 6.72% | 22 Aug 17:00 |