Model: TipTromba2H

Mauaense U20 vs Uniao Mogi U20

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 19, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 2

StartStarted 45d 9h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.17% · n=215

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mauaense U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mauaense U20Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.87First seen

Current1.80Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mauaense U20HOME

Uniao Mogi U20AWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

1.50

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.00

Shots on target for

4.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.50

3.00

Home splitD2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-L1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.17% based on n=215 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.17% · n=215

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Mauaense U20 a useful statistical edge. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Mauaense U20 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 9.5% 7D: -5.6% 15D: -3.2% 30D: 9.1%

Model insight

Mauaense U20 – Uniao Mogi U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.17% and 6.17%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate56.8%

Profit+7.59u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cliftonville (W) - Glentoran (W)	1.80	6.17%
WIN	Wigry Suwalki - LKS Lodz II	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	ABC U20 - Quinho FC U20	1.83	6.89%
WIN	Always Ready - Bolivar	1.90	7.35%
WIN	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Tucuman Central	1.95	6.89%
LOSS	Santos Laguna U19 (W) - Necaxa U19 (W)	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	Nacional de Muriae U20 - Boston City FC U20	1.80	6.89%
WIN	Libertad Asuncion Reserves - Deportivo Recoleta Reserves	1.75	7.35%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Shamrock Rovers - FK Egnatia	1	1.80	7.35%	04 Aug 21:00
Portland Timbers - Puebla	1	1.80	6.17%	07 Aug 04:30

Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Giu 19, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.17% • n=215

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.17% • n=215

Start

Started 45d 9h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 11h ago