Model: TIPPSH
Middlesbrough – Southampton
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-W-D | D-W-D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-L-L (home) | D-W-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded | 2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.20 for / 2.80 against | 3.20 for / 6.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.20 for / 1.60 against (home) | 4.40 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Middlesbrough is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.38Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Middlesbrough – Southampton Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample66
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-5.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 17d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 21d 17h ago