Model: TIPPSH
Minas Brasilia DF (W) – Itabirito (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 23d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Minas Brasilia DF (W) | Itabirito (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-W | D-W-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W (home) | D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 7.00 for / 3.50 against | 6.00 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.33 for / 3.00 against (home) | 7.33 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Minas Brasilia DF (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.32Highest point
Min odds2.13Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Minas Brasilia DF (W) – Itabirito (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample73
Win Rate37.0%
Profit-7.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 23d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 11h ago