Model: TIPPSA
Mjällby AIF – Hammarby
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.19
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 12d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Mjällby AIF | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-D | L-W-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L (home) | L-W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.60 for / 4.00 against | 6.60 for / 1.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.33 against (home) | 3.33 for / 1.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Hammarby is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Mjällby AIF – Hammarby Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample126
Win Rate46.0%
Profit+2.93u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 2.16 | 4.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 12d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 14h ago