Model: TipA1

Modena U19 vs Avellino U19

PREDICTION

@ 3.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 56d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.37% · n=88

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.37% · n=88

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Avellino U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Avellino U19

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current3.27Now

Max odds3.40Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Modena U19HOME

Avellino U19AWAY

DDWWD

Recent form

DLWDD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.40

0.60

Shots on target for

3.00

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

3.80

Home splitD-D-W-D0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.25. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.37% based on n=88 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Campionato Primavera 2 (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.25

V2 BandLOWROI 1.37% · n=88

V4 BandLOWROI 1.37% · n=88

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Avellino U19 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 6.4% 7D: 0.3% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%

Model insight

Modena U19 – Avellino U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.37% and 1.37%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample52

Win Rate28.8%

Profit-3.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Real Oruro - Universitario De Vinto	3.30	1.91%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
WIN	Juazeirense - Serra Branca EC	3.25	1.91%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
WIN	Brunswick Juventus - Bulleen Lions	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	Quinns FC - Curtin University SC	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	El Paso Locomotive FC - Phoenix Rising FC	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	CD Lujan - CSD Fontana	3.50	1.91%

Pick

2 @ 3.25

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.37% • n=88

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.37% • n=88

Start

Started 56d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 57d ago