Monterrey – Chicago Fire

Model: TIPPSH

Monterrey vs Chicago Fire

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 26, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 3d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Monterrey. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MonterreyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.014 | A: 0.126

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.85Now
Max odds2.99Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MonterreyHOME
VS
Chicago FireAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-L1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.85. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.00% based on n=35 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.85
V2 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Monterrey. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Monterrey has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 28.6% 7D: 28.9% 15D: 5.8% 30D: 7.2%
Model insight

Monterrey – Chicago Fire Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.00% and -1.00%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample61
Win Rate29.5%
Profit-9.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSCristo Atletico - Atletico Tordesillas2.84-2.37%
LOSSZESCO United - Red Arrows FC2.88-2.37%
LOSSMladost Zdralovi - Vukovar 912.84-2.37%
LOSSJuventud Italiana - Delfin SC2.77-2.37%
LOSSFC Lauterach - SC Schwaz2.75-2.37%
LOSSIroni Tiberias - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.88-2.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Dukla Banska Bystrica - KFC Komarno12.82-2.37%29 Aug 20:30
Pick
1 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Ago 26, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.00% • n=35
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.00% • n=35
Start
Started 3d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 17h ago
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