Model: TipTromba9H
Montevideo City Torque (W) – Penarol (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 6d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 15h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds8.90First seen
Current8.90Now
Max odds8.90Highest point
Min odds8.55Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Montevideo City Torque (W) | Penarol (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-W | W-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-W (home) | W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.50 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.33 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.75 against | 4.80 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Montevideo City Torque (W). Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -23.4%
7D: 4.1%
15D: -7.4%
30D: 9.6%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.07% based on n=98 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay League Women (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.07% · n=98
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityMedium
Model insight
Montevideo City Torque (W) – Penarol (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.07% across 98 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate20.7%
Profit+19.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Nordstrand - Asker | 8.00 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Edustus STPS - IPS Edustus | 8.00 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Orzel Kolno - Pionier Bransk | 8.00 | 1.02% |
| LOSS | Loudoun United FC II - Lionsbridge FC | 8.00 | 1.07% |
| LOSS | Viggbyholms IK - Sollentuna United FF | 8.00 | 1.07% |
| LOSS | Albinoleffe U19 - Monza U19 | 8.00 | 1.02% |
| WIN | PiPS - KaaPo | 8.00 | 1.07% |
| WIN | KoPa - LAUTP | 8.00 | 1.07% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting (W) - Nacional De Football (W) | 1 | 8.00 | 1.07% | 21 Jun 16:00 |
| Union Minas - Sport Huancayo | 1 | 8.00 | 1.07% | 21 Jun 20:15 |
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.07% • n=98
Start
Started 6d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 15h ago