Motherwell – Dundee Utd

Model: TipA1

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 02, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 18h
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dundee Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dundee UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.017 | A: -0.187

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

75/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.94First seen
Current3.94Now
Max odds3.95Highest point
Min odds3.94Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MotherwellHOME
VS
Dundee UtdAWAY
DLLLW
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
2.20
Shots on target for
2.80
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.60
Home splitL-W-D-W-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland Premiership (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.75
V2 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86
V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Dundee Utd is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -3.6% 7D: 7.5% 15D: 13.7% 30D: 9.1%
Model insight

Motherwell – Dundee Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.91% and 9.91%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate26.3%
Profit+0.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGuairena FC - 12 de Octubre3.759.91%
WINDeportivo Pasto - Llaneros4.009.91%
LOSSZdar nad Sazavou - Sparta Brno3.809.91%
LOSSFC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih - FC Livyi Bereh4.009.91%
LOSSEverton - Lille3.909.91%
LOSSAntalyaspor - Keciorengucu4.009.91%
LOSSKFF Mitrovica (W) - Ludogorets Razgrad (W)3.759.91%
WINPalermo - FC Ingolstadt4.009.91%
Pick
2 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Set 02, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 9.91% • n=86
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
9.91% • n=86
Start
Starts in 1d 18h
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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