Nacao – Blumenau EC

Model: TipTromba7H

Nacao vs Blumenau EC

PREDICTION
1
@ 6.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 6
StartStarted 47d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -5.24% · n=21
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nacao. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NacaoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.40First seen
Current6.25Now
Max odds6.25Highest point
Min odds5.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NacaoHOME
VS
Blumenau ECAWAY
LLWDD
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.80
Shots on target for
3.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
4.20
Home splitL-W-D-W1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L-W2.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 6.25. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -5.24% based on n=21 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Catarinense 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd6.25
V2 BandNONEROI -5.24% · n=21
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -11.7% 7D: 9.0% 15D: 19.4% 30D: 13.8%
Model insight

Nacao – Blumenau EC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 6.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba7H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -5.24% across 21 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate21.4%
Profit+4.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSkanstes SK - Valmiera FC6.00-0.85%
LOSSFC Besa Biel/Bienne - Biel Bienne6.00-0.85%
LOSSVitesse - AEK Athens6.00-0.85%
LOSSRedbridge - AFC Hornchurch6.50-5.24%
LOSSKSV Oudenaarde - SC Lokeren-Temse6.50-5.24%
WINHercules II - KaPa Kajaani6.50-5.24%
LOSSSV Horn - St Polten6.00-2.20%
WINManitou FC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)6.00-2.20%
Pick
1 @ 6.25
Kickoff
Giu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -5.24% • n=21
Start
Started 47d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 4h ago
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