Nakhon Pathom FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nakhon Pathom FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nakhon Pathom FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.084 | A: -0.050Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Thailand Division 2 (th). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Nakhon Pathom FC – Nakhon Ratchasima Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Calvi Noale - AC Mestre | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Sheff Utd (W) - Leicester (W) | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Mogadishu City FC - Kitara FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | KVV Zelzate - SK Roeselare | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Hetman Tykocin - Tur Bielsk Podlaski | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Alphense Boys U21 - Hollandia U21 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Real Jaen - Huesca | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| WIN | CD Coria - Barakaldo | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marko - Panserraikos | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 07 Sep 15:00 |