Newcastle Olympic FC – Belmont Swansea United SC

Model: TIPPSH

Newcastle Olympic FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.57
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 22, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 2
StartStarted 40d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 40d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Newcastle Olympic FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Newcastle Olympic FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.074 | A: 0.116

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.57Now
Max odds3.09Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Newcastle Olympic FCHOME
VS
Belmont Swansea United SCAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
5.80
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
5.20
Home splitW-W-D-D-L3.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-L2.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.57
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 26.7% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 18.0%
Model insight

Newcastle Olympic FC – Belmont Swansea United SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.57. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample157
Win Rate41.4%
Profit+7.52u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCentral Espanol Reserves - Club Atletico Progreso Reserves2.512.49%
LOSSRushall Olympic - Alvechurch2.392.49%
WINWollongong Wolves U20 - Manly United U202.652.49%
LOSSBDF XI - Nico United2.533.15%
LOSSRakow Czestochowa U19 - Miedz Legnica U192.632.49%
LOSSSlovan Bratislava U19 - MSK Zilina U192.453.15%
LOSSNapoli - Como2.522.49%
WINGornik Leczna - Rekord Bielsko-Biala2.632.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Halifax - Hartlepool12.502.49%01 Sep 20:45
Gimhae FC 2008 - Jeonnam Dragons12.814.53%05 Sep 12:00
Hapoel Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Kiryat Shmona12.612.49%05 Sep 18:45
Pick
1 @ 2.57
Kickoff
Lug 22, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 40d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 40d 20h ago
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