Model: TIPPSA

Nosaby vs FK Karlskrona

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 46d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Karlskrona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK KarlskronaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.11Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NosabyHOME

FK KarlskronaAWAY

WDLWL

Recent form

LDWDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.20

Shots on target for

3.80

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

3.20

Home splitW-D-W-W-D2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.06. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.06

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. FK Karlskrona has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 3.3% 7D: -7.3% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 14.9%

Model insight

Nosaby – FK Karlskrona Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample98

Win Rate41.8%

Profit-10.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Shanghai Segenda - Shandong Taishan Reserves	2.13	2.63%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%
LOSS	SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2.25	3.43%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	2	2.30	3.43%	23 Jul 03:30

Pick

2 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132

Start

Started 46d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 14h ago