Model: TIPPSA

OFI Crete vs Aris Salonika

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 70d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 70d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Aris Salonika. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Aris Salonika

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.19Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OFI CreteHOME

Aris SalonikaAWAY

LWWD

Recent form

WWD

Avg goals scored

1.50

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.25

1.00

Shots on target for

4.67

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

3.00

Home splitL-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-D1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Greece Super League 1 (gr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Aris Salonika has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -13.5% 7D: -13.1% 15D: -2.7% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

OFI Crete – Aris Salonika Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample152

Win Rate42.8%

Profit-6.33u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz	2.19	2.63%
LOSS	SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2.25	3.43%

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.44% • n=196

Start

Started 70d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 70d 14h ago