Olimpia Asuncion Reserves vs Cerro Porteno Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Cerro Porteno Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Cerro Porteno ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.208 | A: 0.012Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Cerro Porteno Reserves's attacking profile.
Olimpia Asuncion Reserves – Cerro Porteno Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Halifax (W) - Norton & Stockton Ancients (W) | 3.20 | 0.48% |
| WIN | Veszprem FC - Szombathelyi Haladas | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | CD Marathon - Real Espana | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Modbury Jets Reserves - Adelaide Croatia Raiders Reserves | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| LOSS | Itagui Leones - Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3.10 | 0.48% |
| WIN | Coban Imperial - Antigua GFC | 3.30 | 1.91% |
| LOSS | Cucuta Deportivo - Internacional de Bogota | 3.30 | 1.91% |
| LOSS | Spakenburg - Katwijk | 3.00 | 0.48% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton - Celtic B | 2 | 3.00 | 0.48% | 25 Aug 20:45 |
| Club Atletico Progreso - CA River Plate | 2 | 3.20 | 0.48% | 26 Aug 20:00 |