Model: TipA1

Orense vs SD Aucas

PREDICTION

@ 2.88

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 24, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 16h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SD AucasGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.110 | A: -0.018

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.80First seen

Current2.88Now

Max odds2.88Highest point

Min odds2.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OrenseHOME

SD AucasAWAY

LLDLL

Recent form

WLWWD

Avg goals scored

0.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.60

Shots on target for

2.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

3.20

Home splitL-L-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.48% based on n=403 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.88

V2 BandLOWROI 0.48% · n=403

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. SD Aucas has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 43.7% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 19.7%

Model insight

Orense – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.48% across 403 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample62

Win Rate27.4%

Profit-12.66u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Novi Pazar - FK Radnicki 1923	2.80	0.48%
LOSS	Tanzania Prisons - Polisi Tanzania FC	2.75	0.48%
LOSS	Anderlecht - NEC	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	AFC Rushden & Diamonds - Milton Keynes Irish	2.70	1.02%
WIN	Real Pilar U20 - Argentino Merlo U20	3.00	0.48%
LOSS	Dalvik/Reynir - Fjardabyggd	2.80	0.48%
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	3.10	0.48%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - JK Tammeka Tartu II	2.90	0.48%

Pick

2 @ 2.88

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.48% • n=403

Start

Starts in 2d 16h

Updated

Updated 11h 28m ago