Orgullo Surtam – Bombarderos de Tecamac FC

Model: TIPPSH

Orgullo Surtam – Bombarderos de Tecamac FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 27d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 20h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Orgullo Surtam Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
Last 5 form L-W-D W-W-L
Avg goals scored 0.33 2.00
Avg goals conceded 0.67 1.00
Home/Away form L-W (home) W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 3.33 for / 1.33 against 4.33 for / 3.67 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.00 for / 1.50 against (home) 4.00 for / 4.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.95First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.51Highest point
Min odds1.95Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Orgullo Surtam – Bombarderos de Tecamac FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample66
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-5.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSRouen - Laval2.29-1.54%
LOSSAarau - Grasshoppers2.46-0.42%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
LOSSF91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen2.38-1.54%
LOSSPadova U19 - Venezia U192.38-1.54%
WINSport Boys - Cusco FC2.36-1.54%
WINFC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W)2.50-1.54%
LOSSSt Gallen - FC Thun2.25-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.44
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 27d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 20h ago
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