Model: TIPPSA
Partizan Belgrade – FK Novi Pazar
PREDICTION
2
@ 6.96
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 24d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Partizan Belgrade | FK Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-W-W | L-D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D (home) | L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded | 0.33 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 6.60 against | 5.00 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.33 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 2.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor FK Novi Pazar. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FK Novi Pazar is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.82First seen
Current7.16Now
Max odds7.16Highest point
Min odds4.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Partizan Belgrade – FK Novi Pazar Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 6.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 13 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 6.96
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=13
Start
Started 24d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 6h ago