PEC Zwolle (W) – Werder Bremen (W)

Model: TIPPSH

PEC Zwolle (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.66
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 14m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PEC Zwolle (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PEC Zwolle (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.217

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.53First seen
Current3.95Now
Max odds3.95Highest point
Min odds3.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PEC Zwolle (W)HOME
VS
Werder Bremen (W)AWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
DWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.20
Shots on target for
9.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
4.00
Home splitW-W3.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.66. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Women’s Friendly. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.66
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices PEC Zwolle (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. PEC Zwolle (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -20.4% 7D: 25.4% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 23.5%
Model insight

PEC Zwolle (W) – Werder Bremen (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWuxi Wugo - Qingdao Hainiu3.60-1.88%
Pick
1 @ 3.66
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Starts in 7h 14m
Updated
Updated 9m ago
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