Model: TIPPSA
Persis Solo – Persebaya Surabaya
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Persis Solo | Persebaya Surabaya |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-W-L | D-W-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W (home) | D-W-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded | 1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 1.60 for / 5.60 against | 7.00 for / 2.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.67 for / 2.00 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Persebaya Surabaya has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Persebaya Surabaya is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.96First seen
Current3.16Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds2.96Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Persis Solo – Persebaya Surabaya Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample21
Win Rate47.6%
Profit+12.14u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua | 3.31 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
| WIN | FK Austria Vienna II - SV Kapfenberg | 3.35 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.16
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 17d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 11h ago