Model: TIPPSA

Pogon Mogilno vs Grom Nowy Staw

PREDICTION

@ 2.16

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 17, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 46d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Grom Nowy Staw. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Grom Nowy StawGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current2.25Now

Max odds3.23Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pogon MogilnoHOME

Grom Nowy StawAWAY

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

0.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.00

0.60

Shots on target for

6.00

7.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.20

Home splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.16

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Grom Nowy Staw has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -0.6% 7D: -5.0% 15D: -2.2% 30D: 10.0%

Model insight

Pogon Mogilno – Grom Nowy Staw Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample111

Win Rate55.0%

Profit+19.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	FK Ekranas - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II	2.37	0.84%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
WIN	Sandviken - Kvik Halden FK	2.33	0.84%
WIN	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	2.34	0.84%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
LOSS	Amazonas FC - Paysandu	2.15	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.16

Kickoff

Giu 17, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 46d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 8h ago