Pogon Szczecin – Wisla Krakow

Model: TIPPSA

Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.45
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 23, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 7d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Wisla Krakow. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Wisla KrakowGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.051 | A: -0.030

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.05First seen
Current3.44Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds2.97Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pogon SzczecinHOME
VS
Wisla KrakowAWAY
DWWLL
Recent form
DLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
4.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
6.20
Home splitD-W-L-W-D1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.45. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.45
V2 BandNONEROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Wisla Krakow as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Wisla Krakow's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 30.5% 7D: 24.7% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 6.0%
Model insight

Pogon Szczecin – Wisla Krakow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.79% across 75 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate16.0%
Profit-12.08u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMonaco - Marseille3.23-1.07%
LOSSAthletico Paranaense - Fluminense3.57-0.79%
LOSSOFI Crete - Volos NFC3.57-0.79%
WINSolihull Moors - Middlesbrough U213.30-1.31%
LOSSPaksi - Kispest Honved3.51-1.31%
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
LOSSIndependiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas3.61-0.79%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
Pick
2 @ 3.45
Kickoff
Ago 23, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.79% • n=75
Start
Started 7d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 7d 19h ago
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