Polonia Nysa – Lechia Zielona Góra

Model: TipTromba5H

Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 58d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 59d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Polonia Nysa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Polonia Nysa

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current5.27Now
Max odds5.33Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Polonia NysaHOME
VS
Lechia Zielona GóraAWAY
LLLDW
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.00
Shots on target for
4.20
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
2.40
Home splitL-L-D-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.22% based on n=89 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.22% · n=89
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.22% · n=89
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -4.3% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -10.8% 30D: -1.2%
Model insight

Polonia Nysa – Lechia Zielona Góra Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.22% and 2.22%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample27
Win Rate7.4%
Profit-18.00u
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WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
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LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSUS Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida4.503.71%
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Boreham Wood - Watford14.753.53%11 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.22% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.22% • n=89
Start
Started 58d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 59d 3h ago
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