Model: TipTromba5H
Polonia Nysa – Lechia Zielona Góra
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 27d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=89
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.22% · n=89
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Polonia Nysa | Lechia Zielona Góra |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-D-W | W-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-D-L-L (home) | W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 6.20 against | 4.40 for / 2.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.20 for / 6.80 against (home) | 5.50 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -4.3%
7D: -3.6%
15D: -10.8%
30D: -1.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current5.12Now
Max odds5.12Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Polonia Nysa – Lechia Zielona Góra Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.22% and 2.22%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Boston City FC - Boston Bolts | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Internacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Hubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20 | 4.75 | 3.53% |
| LOSS | US Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida | 4.50 | 3.71% |
| LOSS | Throttur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | PR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | Usher Celtic - St Mochtas | 4.50 | 3.71% |
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.22% • n=89
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.22% • n=89
Start
Started 27d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 12h ago