Model: TIPPSH

Porthmadog vs Rhyl

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 12h 56m ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 19h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Porthmadog. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PorthmadogGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.024

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.10Now

Max odds2.31Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PorthmadogHOME

RhylAWAY

Recent form

LDLLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.50

2.00

Shots on target for

7.00

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

1.50

5.00

Home splitW1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.80 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.10

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Porthmadog's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.8% 7D: 17.2% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Porthmadog – Rhyl Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample339

Win Rate48.7%

Profit-3.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Wisloka Debica - JKS Jaroslaw	2.34	3.15%
LOSS	LKS Drama Zbroslawice - Podlesianka Katowice	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	OFK Banik Lehota - OFK Malzenice	2.25	2.49%
LOSS	Rennes - Brentford	2.06	3.37%
LOSS	Vitesse - RKC	2.35	2.49%
WIN	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Bayern Munich - Aston Villa	1.92	3.37%
LOSS	Respublika FA - Gazalkent	2.32	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Started 12h 56m ago

Updated

Updated 19h 50m ago