Portimonense – Nottm Forest

Model: TipTromba12H

Portimonense vs Nottm Forest

PREDICTION
1
@ 9.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 31, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.01% · n=91
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Portimonense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PortimonenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.092

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds9.00First seen
Current9.50Now
Max odds9.50Highest point
Min odds9.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PortimonenseHOME
VS
Nottm ForestAWAY
LWDWL
Recent form
WWWDL
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.00
Shots on target for
3.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.20
Home splitL-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 9.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.01% based on n=91 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd9.00
V2 BandNONEROI -0.01% · n=91
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -4.1% 7D: -7.1% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

Portimonense – Nottm Forest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 9.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.01% across 91 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate9.1%
Profit-2.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSEC Campo Grande - Aquidauanense9.00-0.01%
LOSSGlenavon - Doncaster9.00-0.01%
LOSSKSV Oudenaarde - Zulte-Waregem9.00-0.01%
LOSSKFC Nijlen - Lierse Kempenzonen9.00-0.01%
LOSSModbury Vista (W) - Adelaide Comets (W)9.00-0.01%
LOSSSubiaco AFC (W) - Fremantle City FC (W)9.00-0.01%
LOSSEskilstuna Utd (W) - Hammarby (W)9.00-0.01%
LOSSSubiaco AFC (W) - Perth SC (W)9.00-0.01%
Pick
1 @ 9.00
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.01% • n=91
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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