PSV Reserves – Ajax Reserves

Model: TIPPSH

PSV Reserves vs Ajax Reserves

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 1h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PSV Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PSV ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.074 | A: 0.018

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.76Now
Max odds1.76Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PSV ReservesHOME
VS
Ajax ReservesAWAY
DDWLW
Recent form
DWLLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.80
Shots on target for
6.80
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
7.40
Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.76. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.76
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives PSV Reserves a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.3% 7D: 12.0% 15D: 19.5% 30D: 8.3%
Model insight

PSV Reserves – Ajax Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample262
Win Rate53.8%
Profit+3.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVila Nova - Ceara1.883.37%
LOSSServette - Lucerne1.913.37%
LOSSFC Tallinn - JK Nomme Kalju II1.973.37%
LOSSSutton Utd - Wealdstone1.993.37%
WINSlovan Liberec - Hradec Kralove1.903.37%
WINBoca Juniors - Lanus1.753.37%
WINMachida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds1.853.37%
WINPEPO - HIFK2.013.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
CD Olimpia Reserves - Motagua Reserves11.843.37%31 Aug 23:00
QPR - Cardiff11.923.37%02 Sep 20:45
Pick
1 @ 1.76
Kickoff
Ago 31, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 1h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 29m ago
Torna in alto