Model: TIPPSH

Puebla (W) vs Necaxa (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.62

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 76d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 76d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Puebla (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Puebla (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.49First seen

Current1.62Now

Max odds1.62Highest point

Min odds1.42Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puebla (W)HOME

Necaxa (W)AWAY

WDD

Recent form

LLL

Avg goals scored

1.67

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.33

5.00

Shots on target for

5.67

1.33

SoT conceded pressure

6.33

7.67

Home splitW-D1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX Femenil (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.62

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Puebla (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.8% 7D: 9.1% 15D: 13.6% 30D: 17.9%

Model insight

Puebla (W) – Necaxa (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.62

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 76d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 76d 22h ago