Model: TipTromba3H

QPR vs Fiorentina

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 9h 14m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 39m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is QPR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: QPRGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: 0.058

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

QPRHOME

FiorentinaAWAY

WWDLL

Recent form

WWDWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.40

Shots on target for

5.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

5.20

Home splitW-L-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-L-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.03% based on n=612 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.70

V2 BandLOWROI 0.03% · n=612

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor QPR. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. QPR has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -19.4% 7D: 21.0% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 23.0%

Model insight

QPR – Fiorentina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.03% across 612 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample53

Win Rate30.2%

Profit-10.79u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Birzebbuga - Balzan FC	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	AB Copenhagen - B93 Copenhagen	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	EBK - P-Iirot	2.55	0.03%
LOSS	De Graafschap - Telstar	2.70	0.03%
WIN	Sao Goncalo - Volta Redonda	2.75	0.71%
LOSS	FC Salzburg - Istanbul Basaksehir	2.63	0.03%
LOSS	St Patricks - Doncaster	2.70	0.03%
LOSS	FC Bulle - Stade Nyonnais	2.50	0.03%

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Gremio Anapolis - Morrinhos	1	2.70	0.03%	25 Jul 21:00

Pick

1 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Lug 25, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.03% • n=612

Start

Starts in 9h 14m

Updated

Updated 14h 39m ago