Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo

Model: TIPPSH

Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 9d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 1h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Racing Club de Montevideo Cerro Largo
Last 5 form W-L-D-W-D L-L-W-L-L
Avg goals scored 0.80 0.60
Avg goals conceded 0.80 1.20
Home/Away form W-D-D-W (home) L-W-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded 0.75 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.80 for / 1.60 against 2.40 for / 4.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.25 for / 1.50 against (home) 3.00 for / 3.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.79Now
Max odds1.79Highest point
Min odds1.78Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Racing Club de Montevideo – Cerro Largo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample227
Win Rate54.6%
Profit+8.15u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
LOSSSouth Melbourne - Auckland FC II1.843.37%
WINJadran Dekani - NK Krka1.913.37%
LOSSNorth Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin1.753.37%
LOSSCFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti1.853.37%
LOSSImisli - FK Karvan1.803.37%
WINKalmar FF - Degerfors1.953.37%
WINReal Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II1.763.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 9d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 1h ago
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