Model: TIPPSH
Randers FC – FC Fredericia
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 47d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Randers FC | FC Fredericia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-D | D-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.50 for / 4.00 against | 4.25 for / 4.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 3.33 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Randers FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -16.7%
7D: -2.5%
15D: 23.4%
30D: 17.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.78First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Randers FC – FC Fredericia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample203
Win Rate54.2%
Profit+3.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 47d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 1h ago