Model: TipA1

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal B

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 9:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 15h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Villarreal B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Villarreal BGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: 0.020

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.18First seen

Current2.19Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Rayo MajadahondaHOME

Villarreal BAWAY

WLLDL

Recent form

WWWLW

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

2.60

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

2.60

Home splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-D2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Villarreal B is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 22.6% 7D: 31.1% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 8.9%

Model insight

Rayo Majadahonda – Villarreal B Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample242

Win Rate48.3%

Profit+1.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Centro Espanyol Reserves - JJ Urquiza Reserves	2.05	-3.85%
WIN	Dungannon Swifts Reserves - Cliftonville Reserves	2.00	-1.48%
LOSS	Vancouver Whitecaps II - Los Angeles FC II	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	Grimsby Borough - Bridlington Town	2.05	-3.85%
WIN	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest	2.15	-3.85%
WIN	Club Leandro N. Alem - Juventud Unida San Miguel	2.15	-1.48%
LOSS	FK Austria Vienna - Braga	2.00	-3.85%
WIN	Clachnacuddin - Elgin	2.10	-1.48%

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Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 9:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.85% • n=318

Start

Starts in 1d 15h

Updated

Updated 8m ago