Rio Negro RR (W) – Ceara (W)

Model: TipA1

Rio Negro RR (W) – Ceara (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 20, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 7d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7d 4h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Rio Negro RR (W) Ceara (W)
Last 5 form W-L-L-W-L L-L-L-W-D
Avg goals scored 1.60 1.00
Avg goals conceded 3.20 1.60
Home/Away form W-W-W-W (home) L-L-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded 0.50 scored / 1.75 conceded
Shots on target 2.80 for / 6.20 against 5.40 for / 6.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.67 for / 1.67 against (home) 3.33 for / 5.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ceara (W)'s attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current3.06Now
Max odds3.06Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Rio Negro RR (W) – Ceara (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
2 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Mag 20, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648
Start
Started 7d ago
Updated
Updated 7d 4h ago
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