Sacramento Republic – Rhode Island FC

Model: TIPPSA

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.54
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 09, 2026 6:30 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 46d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rhode Island FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rhode Island FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.54Now
Max odds3.54Highest point
Min odds3.14Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sacramento RepublicHOME
VS
Rhode Island FCAWAY
WLWDL
Recent form
LDWWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
2.60
Home splitW-L-D-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.54. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.54
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Rhode Island FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.1% 7D: 11.6% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 15.1%
Model insight

Sacramento Republic – Rhode Island FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate18.8%
Profit-5.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOFI Crete - Volos NFC3.57-0.79%
WINSolihull Moors - Middlesbrough U213.30-1.31%
LOSSPaksi - Kispest Honved3.51-1.31%
LOSSHuehuetecos FC - Deportivo Gomerano3.39-0.79%
LOSSIndependiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas3.61-0.79%
WINDelfin SC - Leones FC3.71-0.79%
LOSSBesiktas - Midtjylland3.31-0.79%
LOSSReal Sociedad - Racing Santander3.50-1.31%
Pick
2 @ 3.54
Kickoff
Lug 09, 2026 6:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Started 46d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 9h ago
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