Sacramento Republic – Rhode Island FC

Model: TIPPSA

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.54
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 09, 2026 6:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 1m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.31% · n=19
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 20m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rhode Island FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rhode Island FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.54Now
Max odds3.54Highest point
Min odds3.14Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sacramento RepublicHOME
VS
Rhode Island FCAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
0.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
3.20
7.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
2.00
Home splitL-D-W-W-D1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.54. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.31% based on n=19 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.54
V2 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
V4 BandNONEROI -1.31% · n=19
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Rhode Island FC shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Rhode Island FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -37.6% 7D: 3.3% 15D: 23.5% 30D: 13.3%
Model insight

Sacramento Republic – Rhode Island FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.31% and -1.31%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-3.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
LOSSArmenia - Kazakhstan3.70-1.31%
LOSSHerediano - Cartagines3.48-1.78%
LOSSPersis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya3.32-1.78%
WINBraga B - AD Sanjoanense3.78-1.79%
LOSSBrusque - Caxias RS3.75-1.79%
LOSSSalPa - RoPS3.70-1.78%
Pick
2 @ 3.54
Kickoff
Lug 09, 2026 6:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.31% • n=19
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.31% • n=19
Start
Starts in 1h 1m
Updated
Updated 5h 20m ago
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