Model: TIPPSH

SalPa vs OLS

PREDICTION

@ 2.07

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 12h 1m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SalPa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SalPaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.146 | A: 0.113

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current2.07Now

Max odds2.23Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SalPaHOME

OLSAWAY

LDWLL

Recent form

DDWWD

Avg goals scored

0.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

Shots on target for

5.60

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

8.40

Home splitL-W-L-D-W1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L-D1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.07. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Ykkonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.07

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 39.6% 7D: 23.7% 15D: 3.9% 30D: 3.9%

Model insight

SalPa – OLS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample33

Win Rate42.4%

Profit-4.27u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wadi Degla - ZED FC	2.14	6.72%
LOSS	Tikves Kavadarci - KF Shkendija Haracine	2.20	6.72%
LOSS	Notodden - Brattvåg	2.22	6.72%
WIN	Barrancas FC U20 - Deportivo Paraguayo U20	2.16	6.72%
LOSS	VfB Stuttgart II - FC Viktoria Köln	2.09	6.72%
LOSS	Coleraine - Larne FC	2.21	6.72%
LOSS	Barnsley - Bromley	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	Souths United - Taringa Rovers	1.94	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30
SCR Altach - Hartberg	1	1.82	6.72%	22 Aug 17:00
Feirense - FC Porto B	1	2.10	6.72%	24 Aug 21:15

Pick

1 @ 2.07

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Starts in 12h 1m

Updated

Updated 10m ago