Model: TipTromba45H

Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 2

StartStarted 46d 16h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Samgurali. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Samgurali

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.25First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.75Highest point

Min odds3.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SamguraliHOME

FC Iberia 1999AWAY

WLDLW

Recent form

LWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.20

Shots on target for

4.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

3.20

Home splitW-D-W-W-L1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Erovnuli Liga (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=160

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 52.6% 7D: 30.6% 15D: 25.4% 30D: 8.9%

Model insight

Samgurali – FC Iberia 1999 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample8

Win Rate25.0%

Profit+0.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Biel Bienne - Yverdon Sport FC	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Santa Cruz RJ - Perolas Negras	4.00	0.00%
WIN	Hamar Hveragerdi - Arborg	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	XV Piracicaba U20 - Gremio Novorizontino U20	4.20	0.00%
LOSS	Largs Thistle - Auchinleck Talbot	4.10	0.00%
LOSS	FC Yaypan Fergana - Termez Surkhon	4.00	0.00%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Union Espanola (W)	4.10	0.00%
WIN	Hapoel Akko U19 - Hapoel Kfar Saba U19	4.00	0.00%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Mag 25, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

0.00% • n=160

Start

Started 46d 16h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 6h ago