Model: TIPPSH
Sampdoria – Sudtirol
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.16
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 40d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 40d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W (home) | L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 3.00 against | 2.00 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.33 for / 2.67 against (home) | 1.67 for / 6.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Sampdoria a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Sampdoria is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.1%
7D: 11.6%
15D: 7.2%
30D: 15.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Sampdoria – Sudtirol Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample232
Win Rate46.1%
Profit-12.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Toronto FC II - Huntsville City | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 1 | 2.23 | 3.37% | 12 Jun 20:45 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.16
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 40d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 40d 21h ago