Model: TIPPSH

Santa Catarina vs Joinville

PREDICTION

@ 2.05

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 57d 1h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Santa Catarina. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Santa Catarina

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

8/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Santa CatarinaHOME

JoinvilleAWAY

WLWLD

Recent form

LLDWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

7.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.80

Home splitW-W-W1.67 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D0.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.05. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.05

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Santa Catarina is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 11.3% 7D: 8.7% 15D: -2.4% 30D: -0.1%

Model insight

Santa Catarina – Joinville Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 2.05

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 57d 1h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 3h ago