Sao Bento U20 (W) – Palmeiras U20 (W)

Model: TipTromba15H

Sao Bento U20 (W) vs Palmeiras U20 (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 12.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 12, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 9h 41m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.18% · n=35
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Bento U20 (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Bento U20 (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.061 | A: 0.043

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds12.00First seen
Current16.00Now
Max odds17.50Highest point
Min odds12.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao Bento U20 (W)HOME
VS
Palmeiras U20 (W)AWAY
LWWDL
Recent form
WLWLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
3.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.40
Shots on target for
4.80
8.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
3.80
Home splitL-W-L-L1.25 scored / 2.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-W1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 12.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.18% based on n=35 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd12.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.18% · n=35
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 29.4% 7D: 19.0% 15D: 13.2% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Sao Bento U20 (W) – Palmeiras U20 (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 12.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.18% across 35 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample5
Win Rate20.0%
Profit+7.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCosta Rica U21 - Colombia U2112.002.18%
LOSSClub Davema (W) - Nacional Potosi (W)12.002.18%
LOSSSouthern California Dutch Lions Women - Capo FC (W)12.002.18%
WINYanapuma (W) - Alianza Lima (W)12.002.18%
LOSSBuhimba United Saints FC - Vipers SC12.004.11%
Pick
1 @ 12.00
Kickoff
Ago 12, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.18% • n=35
Start
Starts in 9h 41m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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